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Sunday, 12 March 2017

Deutsche Bank: Details of what will be the growth of the dollar against the yen

The upward trend in the pair USD/JPY is unlikely to go smoothly. It should contain smooth adjustments, analysts said. As demonstrated by the December report of the State Pension Investment Fund of Japan (GPIF), Japanese investors will provide strong support for the USD/JPY close to the level 110.00, but it is unlikely that they will act as a driving force that will allow prices to go above 115.00 in the near future, for example if the Fed raise rates in March, the course may briefly rise above indicated resistance, but then there is a likelihood of downward movement, according to analysts.
Nevertheless, they support the view that in long-term USD/JPY will go up after the increase in interest rates in the US. American economists of the bank expect that the Fed will raise rates this year in March, June and September and 3 more times next year. This will be the determining factor for the upward movement of USD/JPY.
The exchange rate of USD/JPY should be increased to 115 after the increase in interest rates in March and then to gain a foothold in the range of 115-118 after the increase in interest rates in June and break above 120.00, due to higher interest rates in September.

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