The US economy is growing at a healthy pace, which has already brought the US indexes to new record highs, commented GS chief financial analyst David Kostin. He acknowledged that a synchronized rise in economic activity around the world was a major reason for the appreciation of the stock.
Now, however, Kostin warns investors to be careful. He pointed to the ISM Manufacturing Index, which is at a 13-month high of 60.8 points in September. Indicator value is above 50 points, signaling growth.
In other words, according to Kostin, the current ISM index values could signal a peak in the economy.
And as we know, expectations are being traded in the markets. When expectations begin to slow down, markets are also following.
Kostin predicts the blue chip index S&P 500 to drop to 2 400 points by the end of the year. Despite these expectations, he likes growth-oriented stocks.
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