There is a high probability of intervention by the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England in case of Brexit.
Alan Ruskin - currency strategist at Deutsche Bank (DE: DBKGn), considered: "If the British referendum will lead to a drop in the dollar/yen below 100.00, the most likely scenario reaction of the Japanese financial authorities will be currency intervention. Japan will intervene under the guise of Brexit, having received in this case compelling arguments in the form of emergency and dramatic tightening of conditions which reflect the international volatility, not the internal situation. The Bank of England is also unlikely to be "waiting" if the pound against the dollar will fall below 1.30 and will continue to decline, the Bank of England will have a reason for the currency intervention and the ECB and the Fed is likely in a sign of solidarity may accede to it."
The probability of ECB intervention is low, because the eurozone is unlikely in the case of Brexit become the epicenter of the movement of assets.
And the Fed could to intervene only in the event of a significant tightening of financial conditions in the United States, which is also not expected.
Showing posts with label Britain. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Britain. Show all posts
Monday, 20 June 2016
Thursday, 12 May 2016
Bank of England strengthens warning for Brexit referendum on 23 June
Bank of England alerted on Thursday that the vote on the referendum on 23 June Britain to leave the European Union, would hurt the economy and send the pound sharply lower.
The central bank said that there is "significant risk" to its economic forecasts for the referendum out of the country by the EU on June 23rd.
If the vote is to leave the EU, it could materially alter the outlook for output and inflation in the country and therefore setting monetary policy the bank.
Households may postpone consumption and businesses to delay investment, labor demand may decrease, causing higher unemployment, said politicians in a statement accompanying the decision on interest rates.
Bank maintained its key interest rate at a record low of 0.5 percent, as expected.
The central bank said that there is "significant risk" to its economic forecasts for the referendum out of the country by the EU on June 23rd.
If the vote is to leave the EU, it could materially alter the outlook for output and inflation in the country and therefore setting monetary policy the bank.
Households may postpone consumption and businesses to delay investment, labor demand may decrease, causing higher unemployment, said politicians in a statement accompanying the decision on interest rates.
Bank maintained its key interest rate at a record low of 0.5 percent, as expected.
Labels:
Brexit,
Britain,
forex,
fundamental analysis,
gbp,
investing,
pound,
referendum,
speculation,
trade,
trading,
trend
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