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Friday 29 September 2017

Yellen: The gradual rise in interest rates will continue (1)

Janet Yellen did not surprise the market by saying what everyone was expecting from her. Particulary, the gradual rise in interest rates will continue despite weak inflation.
Yellen's comments continue to indicate problems in predicting inflation in the future, which may be an obstacle to normalizing interest rate policy from the Federal reserve.
It is possible that the Fed has applied incorrect inflation models and failed to take into account key labor market facts, said Yellen.
And while there is still no clear evidence of accelerating inflation to strengthen the position of a gradual rise in interest rates, the central bank must be open to similar action, the most influential business lady said.
The current low inflation most likely reflects factors that will drop over time, Yellen said in a 37-page report.
Without further gradual increases in federal interest, according to her, over time, there is a risk that the labor market will gradually overheat, creating inflationary problems in the future that will be difficult to overcome without bringing a recession.

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